Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.413148 5.307466e-01 0.658064 0.804372 0.966245 1.138450 1.334148
2025-08-03 0.265320 4.248741e-01 0.615181 0.850315 1.125858 1.432638 1.794673
2025-08-10 0.177313 3.478459e-01 0.568495 0.856011 1.206056 1.606870 2.090342
2025-08-17 0.097981 2.578714e-01 0.487894 0.806354 1.209873 1.684861 2.269750
2025-08-24 0.045407 1.841392e-01 0.412368 0.749620 1.194033 1.730698 2.403749
2025-08-31 0.019950 1.411714e-01 0.370718 0.729941 1.218528 1.820211 2.585112
2025-09-07 0.008186 1.166414e-01 0.351944 0.737873 1.275601 1.947367 2.809676
2025-09-14 0.001409 9.113506e-02 0.325394 0.730648 1.309960 2.044404 2.996380
2025-09-21 NaN 6.670451e-02 0.293878 0.711785 1.325797 2.116141 3.150670
2025-09-28 NaN 6.253095e-02 0.302009 0.753795 1.424690 2.293221 3.434254
2025-10-05 NaN 6.144177e-02 0.316400 0.805646 1.537272 2.487961 3.739876
2025-10-12 NaN 5.752057e-02 0.323331 0.845023 1.632253 2.660077 4.017623
2025-10-19 NaN 5.990518e-02 0.347286 0.915692 1.776031 2.901097 4.388560
2025-10-26 NaN 5.631237e-02 0.356132 0.961892 1.886352 3.100444 4.709881
2025-11-02 NaN 4.515198e-02 0.342420 0.968771 1.939721 3.225081 4.937403
2025-11-09 NaN 2.580755e-02 0.296025 0.915506 1.904230 3.232164 5.016790
2025-11-16 NaN 1.131329e-02 0.249001 0.854829 1.854042 3.217180 5.066196
2025-11-23 NaN 5.258355e-03 0.225314 0.833715 1.860212 3.275224 5.206298
2025-11-30 NaN 2.907449e-03 0.217472 0.842225 1.910595 3.392234 5.421279
2025-12-07 NaN 8.357445e-04 0.202348 0.834476 1.935246 3.474022 5.590922
2025-12-14 NaN 4.718718e-07 0.182371 0.814235 1.939296 3.527074 5.723150
2025-12-21 NaN 1.022081e-06 0.192654 0.859292 2.045942 3.720446 6.036324
2025-12-28 NaN 2.773728e-05 0.207672 0.914794 2.169178 3.936682 6.379183